Fury vs Makhmudovvs
NetflixboxingMain EventHeavyweight
Tyson Fury
34-1-1
Arslanbek Makhmudov
18-1
Sat, Apr 11, 2026
TBA
Fury 89%11% Makhmudov
Tyson Fury— Strong Lean
Moderate
Method Prediction
55%
KO/TKO
0%
Submission
45%
Decision
Tale of the Tape
Fury
Makhmudov
6'9"
Height
6'5"
270 lbs
Weight
260 lbs
85 in
Reach
82 in
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
34-1-1
Record
18-1
England
Country
Russia
Physical Matchup Impact
Reach
85" vs 82" (3" diff)+0.9%
Height
6'9" vs 6'5" (4" diff)+0.6%
Record
34-1 vs 18-1+0.0%
Key Factors
Fighter B carries significantly more power (+10 pts)
Fighter A's defensive skill is elite (+22 pts)
The engine leans Tyson Fury at 89.1% probability, with KO/TKO as the predicted method. The biggest skill gap is in footwork, where Tyson Fury holds the advantage. Arslanbek Makhmudov has a viable path through knockout power but must overcome a 89.1% probability gap to pull the upset.
Why the Engine Leans
Fighter B carries significantly more power (+10 pts)
Fighter A's defensive skill is elite (+22 pts)
Method breakdown: KO/TKO 54.8%, Decision 45.2%, Submission 0.0%
Keys for A
Exploit footwork advantage (+26 pts) to control the pace
Close via KO/TKO — engine gives 54.8% method probability
Momentum: 3 wins in recent fight history — confidence and timing are peak
Keys for B
Exploit Power advantage (+10 pts) to control the pace
Avoid prolonged footwork exchanges where opponent has +26 pt edge
Force an early finish — probability gap widens in later rounds if cardio differential holds
Risk Factors
Limited recent fight data for Arslanbek Makhmudov (0 fights in DB)
Data Gaps
No fight history for Arslanbek Makhmudov — engine relies on attributes only
Grounded in 8 career stats · 3 facts · 6 fight history rows
Generated Feb 12, 2026snapshot 8844afdf